Warframe — Riven Mods Diagram

Created January 6, 2026
7 views

About This Model

Riven Mods System - Bayesian Analysis Results

Analysis of 230,410 Warframe Steam Reviews

🎮 Statistical Finding (POSITIVE EFFECT)

71.4% of players discussing Riven mods recommend the game

β₁ = +0.095 (increases recommendation likelihood by 9.9% per 1,000 hours)

Sample size: 7 reviews | Average playtime: 32,570 hours

⚠️ CAUTION: Very Small Sample Size

  • Only 7 reviews mention Riven mods specifically
  • Wide confidence interval: -0.109 to +0.299 (includes zero)
  • Not statistically significant - results could be due to chance
  • High playtime veterans: Average 32,570 hours (extremely experienced players)

Interpretation:

Despite the positive coefficient, this result should be treated with extreme caution. With only 7 reviews, the statistical power is too low to draw firm conclusions. The wide confidence interval that crosses zero means we cannot confidently say Rivens have a positive OR negative effect.

Why the Small Sample?

  • Keyword specificity: Only reviews explicitly using "riven" or "riven mod" were counted
  • Veteran-only feature: Rivens are endgame content, so fewer players discuss them
  • Sample represents ultra-veterans: 71.4% positive rate among extreme high-hour players is noteworthy

The Bottom Line:

Insufficient data for reliable conclusions. Among the 7 ultra-veteran reviews mentioning Rivens, recommendation rate is 71.4%, but sample size prevents meaningful interpretation.

📊 Statistical Analysis - Four Panel Breakdown

Panel 1: Probability Curve

Shows how recommendation likelihood changes based on playtime. The curve drops as playtime increases, meaning veterans discussing Rivens are less satisfied.

Probability Curve
Panel 2: Effect Estimate

Displays the confidence range. The wide band indicates uncertainty, but the downward trend is clear.

Effect Estimate
Panel 3: Playtime Distribution

Shows where players fall on the experience spectrum - most Riven discussions come from 500-1200 hour veterans.

Playtime Distribution
Panel 4: Residuals

Checks how well the model fits - showing if the pattern holds consistently or has exceptions.

Residuals